Some of the top guys in years past have slid a bit. Younger guys are making a push for top 15 spots. Many teammates will split carries.
1. Adrian Peterson – Coming off 2,00 yard season. Should be top rusher again. Good weapons around him help take the pressure away.
2. Arian Foster – 47 TD’s the last 3 seasons. Calf injury is concerning. Tate is healthier. Similar injury two years ago, still put up good numbers. Handcuff Ben Tate.
3. Doug Martin – Had some huge games as a rookie. Offensive line is healthier and he’s a big part of the passing game. Better defense could cut production a bit.
4. Jamaal Charles – If Andy Reid can get Charles into the end zone like he did with McCoy. This could be a career year for Charles. Even if the scores don’t come he’ll catch 40 plus balls this season.
5. Marshawn Lynch – Double digit TD’s the last two seasons. Yards will pile up to 1,300 – 1,500 again.
6. C.J. Spiller – Spiller is the clear cut feature back with a good complement in Jackson. I think he gets double digit TD’s between rushing and receiving.
7. Alfred Morris – Morris busted onto the scene in preseason and ran for 1,600 yards and 13 touchdowns. He’ll be a big part of the offense again.
8. Steven Jackson – Jackson still has something left in the tank. TD’s will go up a bit, Yards should be similar.
9. Stevan Ridley – Ridley had a big year. Pats may run more this season. Expect similar stats in 2013.
10. LeSean McCoy – 2012 was rough, rushing yards will come in bunches and he’ll be called on to catch out of the backfield. offensive line will be stronger than a season ago.
11. Trent Richardson – Double digit touchdowns helped his rookie season. I expect him to go above the 1,000 yard mark this year. Weeden a year better can only help offense move.
12. Ray Rice – Rice will be an asset in the passing game as usual. Pitta and Boldin wont be around this year. Better PPR pick, Pierce will cut into rushing production and TD’s.
13. Matt Forte – PPR monster had a chunk of his season cut. He’ll be back as one of the Bears offensive centerpieces. Injuries have been tough.
14. Reggie Bush – Bush could be a PPR monster this season. He should be a solid number two in Point per reception leagues.
15. Frank Gore – Another gritty year from Gore. When does it end? Quality RB2 and Flex.
16. Chris Johnson – Johnson’s best days are behind him. A better line can only help him. He’s a better PPR back at this point with Shonn Green stealing carries.
17. Maurice Jones-Drew – Jones-Drew flamed out with an injury last season. The QB situation isn’t good but he’s supposedly healthy and the main offensive cog.
18. Eddie Lacy – Early reports of being out of shape were hushed by a good team scrimmage. Looking more and more like he’ll be the clear cut number one.
19. Lamar Miller – The line looks good except left tackle.. Miller will get the first shot to be the number one rusher. fumbles could be an issue. I have less faith in him than some.
20. Darren McFadden – McFadden is healthy and the Power rushing attack could help him bounce back.
21. Darren Sproles – Another back who suffered from the injury bug in 12′. Sproles will back to being a big part of the high flying Saints offense again.
22. DeMarco Murray – Murray was a bust last season. The offensive line was bad and he missed six weeks with a sprained foot.
23. David Wilson – Wilson and Brown are splitting carries. I’m not sold on Wilson yet. Bet his kick return ability helps if your league counts return points for individual players.
24. Darryl Richardson – Richardson will be the back catching the passes out of the backfield. Good PPR pick and depth.
25. Giovanni Bernard – Best drafted in PPR formats. Wont get the goal touches. Nice change of pace from Green-Ellis
26. Ryan Mathews – The line could be a little better this year. Mathews is always hurt. Let other people draft him higher than they should.
27. Le’Veon Bell – The Steelers love to pound the ball. Bell may be in line to get the most touches. Dwyer will try to get in the mix also. I’n not convinced he’s the starter all season.
28. Rashard Mendenhall – The Cardinals rushing attack was a mess last season. The line is better but the offensive game plan is to throw a lot.
29. Ahmad Bradshaw – He will need time to get to full speed. The Colts will run more than they did a year ago.
30. Shane Vereen – I’ve never been high on Vareen. PPR is his best value. Injuries have been an issue.
31. Chris Ivory – Ivory has showed big flashes at times. He now gets the chance to take the main rushing duties in NY. If he can stay healthy he should be solid this year. Early camp injury is a concern.
32. Andre Brown – After years of injuries Brown got his fair shot in 2012. He looked good and will get plenty of opportunities this year. Wilson will be on a short leash.
33. BenJarvus Green-Ellis – Green Ellis had an okay 2012. Only six touchdowns and just over a thousand yards. Rookie Bernard will push for carries. Green-Ellis will still get a bulk of the workload and the chances on the goal line.
34. Ronnie Hillman – Should end up as the change of pace back on passing downs. Right now he’s the starter. Montee Ball is lurking behind him for carries and could take over.
35. Mark Ingram – Flashes but never a consistent play. He either becomes more consistant this season or is what he is. Flex or depth player.
36. Montee Ball – Could be a good goal line threat. But early struggles have been a concern.
37. Zac Stacy – Stacy has a good size and better measurables than last years surprise rookie Alfred Morris. He’ll score and rack up some yards.
38. Bernard Pierce – Pierce is second fiddle to Rice. But i think he’ll have some 100 yard rush games and score on the goal line.
39. Jonathon Dwyer – If Bell fails to impress in his rookie season, Dwyer will take the load.
40. Ben Tate – Foster’s health is key to Tate’s success. He can be productive even when Foster is healthy. But you never know when it will come.
41. Vick Ballard – Ballard, my super sleeper from last season was decent when called on. The Colts didn’t run a lot. He had his best games late in the season against the Texans. He can be slightly better this year.
42. Pierre Thomas – Thomas has been one of the rotating backs for the Saints. Good depth player who can have good games for you as a flex or spot start.
43. DeAngelo Williams – Williams career has been disappointing after a great start. I don’t think this year gets much better. He’s a bench guy for you at this point.
44. Fred Jackson – Getting older and he’s suffered many injuries. Spiller is the man in Buffalo. Depth or flex play now.
45. Bryce Brown – Brown could be a surprise this season. Played well last year and Chip Kelly’s offense could involve multiple backs running the ball.
46. Shonn Green – Could be a Touchdown Vulture this year.
47. Danny Woodhead – It will be interesting how the Chargers use Woodhead. He can run up the middle on a limited basis and catch passes.
48. Legarrette Blount – Blount will have some big games this season. Looks faster and thinner. He should excel in this fast pace Pats offense.